Canada and the EU Draw Closer as Ties with Washington Fray

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Overview

ARTE Europe Weekly asks whether the warming relationship between Canada and the European Union, which the programme frames as a "long-distance" romance across some 6,000 km of Atlantic, is a lasting alliance or a short-lived affair. Its answer is mixed. The ties are real and growing in trade, politics and defence, but they are shaped by Ottawa's troubled relationship with the United States, and Washington is likely to push back.

8 min read
0:40

A symbolic appearance in Strasbourg

The most recent sign of closeness was Prime Minister Mark Carney's attendance at European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's State of the Union address. The programme notes that he was the first foreign head of government to do so. Von der Leyen used the occasion to describe a shared future:

"Mark, your presence here is a symbol of the enduring friendship between our people. We want to bring the relationship with Canada to the highest level possible, opening the door for Canada to being the first associate member of the European Union."

Carney replied the next day with his own vision of what a partnership could be:

"A Canada-EU alliance would create a beacon for other democracies. An alliance strong enough so that no one can dictate our choices. An alliance open enough that others can join. An alliance principled enough that our strength reinforces international law rather than seeks to replace it."

The programme presents this as the latest step in a series of moves toward each other. Last May, Carney received a red-carpet welcome at a summit in Yerevan, Armenia, which the narrator describes as a meeting of "the European family" in the broadest sense. A speaker there explained Canada's presence by saying that "Europe is not about geography, it's about values and principles."

2:19

Why Ottawa is looking east

According to the programme, Carney sees the rapprochement as more than a matter of shared values. He considers it necessary in a new world order set by the United States. At the Davos forum, the former banker criticised Donald Trump's policies without naming him:

"When we only negotiate bilaterally with a hegemon, we negotiate from weakness. We accept what's offered. We compete with each other to be the most accommodating. This is not sovereignty. It's the performance of sovereignty while accepting subordination."

Since Trump returned to power, a trade war has divided the two neighbours. The programme describes Trump stepping up pressure with what it calls exorbitant tariffs on Canadian products such as cars and steel. In a clip, Trump says Canadian businesses are "pouring into the United States," that "we want to make our own cars," and that "Canada has been ripping us off for years. No longer." He has also floated the idea of Canada becoming the 51st state.

The stakes for Canada are high. Nearly three quarters of its exports of goods and services go to the US. Even so, the government retaliated, pledging to match Washington's new tariffs "dollar for dollar in order to protect Canadian workers, farmers, families, and businesses."

3:57

Teamwork with Europe in practice

Carney has been acting on this strategy for some time, the programme says. One example was the Finnish president's visit to Ottawa in mid-April, presented as a demonstration of Canada's teamwork with Europe. During that visit came the following assessment: the United States now appears "willing to break with its greatest advantage in geopolitics, which is its network of allies." That shift, the speaker argued, pushes countries with strong democracies, rule of law and integrated economies to bind themselves more closely together.

4:23

An alliance, not membership

What form the closer ties will take is still open. Carney has called Canada "the most European of non-European nations," but he has ruled out joining the EU:

"We're not looking to become a member of the European Union. What we are looking [for] … [is to] begin discussions for [a] unique alliance with the European Union. We're stronger together and this is at a time where the world's more dangerous and divided and friends need to stick together."

Public opinion, as reported, is split on membership but clearly supports cooperation. In a recent poll, 49% of Canadians backed full EU membership, while 80% wanted closer cooperation on foreign policy, defence and the economy.

Von der Leyen's offer of associate membership would take the EU into uncharted territory. An analyst interviewed in the programme called it "historically unprecedented." The closest comparison, the analyst said, is the association arrangements with EFTA states, including Iceland, which recently voted to stay in EFTA rather than join the EU. But the EU has never had such a relationship with a country as distant as Canada. The analyst described the aim as finding ways to create better access, better intelligence and better sharing of how both sides of the Atlantic see and assess the world.

5:49

Shared values and new areas of cooperation

The programme says the bloc of 27 and Canada have democracy, the rule of law and fundamental human rights in common. They are now exploring new links in AI, satellite technology, energy and raw materials. Together they could carry weight in global trade. For Europe, Canada adds to a market of almost 500 million consumers. For Canada, Europe is an attractive fallback if relations with the US worsen.

The programme also cautions that Europe could never fully replace the US market, because those economic ties go back much further.

6:39

Trade under CETA

Even so, much has already changed. The EU is Canada's second-largest trading partner, and trade between them hit a record €130.8 billion in 2025. The programme credits much of this growth to the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), in force since 2017. Since then, bilateral trade has risen by 81.2%.

The programme calls this a resounding success, especially since 10 EU member states, including France and Italy, have still not ratified the agreement. Carney has again urged them to do so soon. Europe mainly exports machinery and chemical products to Canada. Canada sends raw materials, including agricultural and food products, to Europe.

The relationship goes beyond trade. A strategic partnership agreement, provisionally applied since 2017 alongside CETA, opened the way for deeper cooperation on politics, foreign policy and security.

7:47

Defence and the Arctic

Defence has been a particular focus this year. In early 2026, Canada became the first country outside the EU to join the bloc's SAFE agreement, a framework for closer security and defence cooperation. It gives access to €150 billion in loans for joint defence spending on drones, missiles, air defence and artillery. Until now these loans were available only to EU member states. Canada made an initial contribution of €10 million.

The programme also stresses Canada's location. As Arctic sea ice melts faster, the region has drawn the attention of major powers because of its untapped natural resources and new shipping routes. That, the narrator suggests, partly explains why the relationship appeals to the EU. The European Parliament has even announced plans to open an office in Ottawa.

8:55

The third wheel: Washington

The programme calls the United States "an elephant in the room or maybe a third wheel." The analyst said that the US will remain the "big invisible figure" in Canada's talks with Europe. He pointed out that the Trump administration stepped in at the last minute of negotiations with Canada to try to stop it from deepening trade ties with the rest of the world. In his view, Washington will not take such moves "lying down," especially from the largest market for US goods, and will try to exert pressure and influence.

Trump has said any new EU agreement with Canada would be a hostile act, and has threatened even heavier tariffs. Carney, for his part, does not intend to cut ties with the US. He says he wants to keep it as Canada's most significant partner in many areas.

9:48

What comes next

Canada and the EU have a summit planned in Montreal at the end of October. The programme ends without a verdict, asking whether the pair can expect smooth sailing or rough seas ahead.