Dwarkesh Patel
17:12Why Continual Learning Keeps AGI Further Off Than It Looks: Dwarkesh's Timelines as of July 2025
On the Dwarkesh Podcast, guests have given very different estimates of how far away AGI is. Some say 20 years, others say two. In this solo episode, adapted from a blog post, Dwarkesh sets out their o
1:55:50How Imperial Japan Overturned the Balance of Power in Asia: Sarah Paine on the Meiji Generation, Qing China, and Tsarist Russia
For most of recorded history, China was the dominant civilization in Asia. Within about a decade at the turn of the twentieth century, Japan defeated both Qing China and Tsarist Russia and became the
2:13:00How Stalin Became Stalin: Stephen Kotkin on Revolution, Terror, and Why Communist Regimes Endure
Stephen Kotkin, a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, has published two of the three planned volumes of his Stalin biography: Paradoxes of Power and Waiting for Hitler. In this long conversation
2:26:55Arthur Kroeber on China's Industrial Machine and Why the US Needs to Learn to Coexist With It
Arthur Kroeber is a founding partner of the research firm Gavekal Dragonomics and the author of China's Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know. In this long conversation, the host starts from a delibera
1:35:31Ken Rogoff on China's Stalled Boom, America's Coming Inflation Test, and the Luck Behind Dollar Dominance
Ken Rogoff is a Harvard professor, a former Chief Economist of the International Monetary Fund, and the author of Our Dollar, Your Problem. In this conversation with Dwarkesh Patel, recorded at Harvar
1:29:22Victor Shih on Xi Jinping's Control, AI "Brakes," Local Debt, and What Comes After Xi
In this conversation, Dwarkesh Patel interviews Victor Shih, director of the 21st Century China Center at UC San Diego and a specialist in Chinese elite politics, banking, and fiscal policy. The host'