A Former High-Frequency Quant on Why Markets Shortchange Investors, and Why He Left to Build QFEX

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Overview

Annanay Kapila spent several years as a quant at high-frequency trading firms, where the strategies he was responsible for traded between 10 and 100 billion dollars a day. He points out that 10 billion dollars a day is roughly the GDP of France. He was well paid, but he says he came to feel he "was wasting my life." In this interview he explains how high-frequency trading makes its money and why he thinks much of that profit comes from flaws in how markets are designed. He also describes why he left to co-found QFEX, which he describes as a 24/7 global stock exchange meant to "revolutionize trading."

12 min read

From Cambridge to quant trading

Kapila was born in India. His parents later moved to the UK, and he notes that they "left behind a lot in India to kind of start over." He says the family was not very wealthy. He studied math at Cambridge, and near the end of his degree he had to decide what to do next. A PhD was an option and would have been impactful, he says, but quant trading "just paid a lot of money," and the money was too good to turn down.

After leaving Cambridge in 2020, he worked for about a year at Flow Traders, a Dutch high-frequency trading firm. He was then headhunted by Tower Research Capital, an American firm, where he stayed almost three years.

What a quant's day looks like, and where the money comes from

He describes the work as driven entirely by data. Before he even got to the office, he would check on his work laptop how much money the team had made. Quant traders don't trade by talking to people. They look at data and trade from it.

When people ask for a real-world analogy, he compares it to running a car dealership. A dealer keeps an inventory of cars, buys them at slightly lower prices, and sells them at slightly higher ones. Each margin is small. Kapila says quant finance earns so much because so much volume passes through the markets. His example is the S&P 500 future on CME: that one product trades about 500 billion dollars a day, which he says is more than the GDP of any country.

Profiting from design flaws

Kapila's main criticism is that high-frequency trading "is all about exploiting market inefficiencies," and that many of those inefficiencies are structural. His example is futures expiry. According to him, S&P futures expire every three months because the schedule matches the harvest of certain crops in the Midwest, and he argues an equity index future has no need to expire at all. At each expiry, holders have to sell the expiring contract and buy the next one. They pay transaction costs on every trade, so they lose money, and high-frequency traders "make the other side of the money."

He is blunt about the motives in the industry. "No one in quant trading wakes up in the morning and they think, oh, how do I make the markets more efficient today? How do I lower cost of consumers today?" In his view, traders want to make money so they can earn big bonuses. He also describes a "cognitive dissonance" among quants: because they earn large paychecks, he says, they persuade themselves they must be doing something good for the world. He includes himself, since he was earning the same paychecks.

Golden handcuffs and the source of his guilt

Kapila says Tower had very high-quality talent. Many of his colleagues had won International Math Olympiad medals, and many had ranked in roughly the top 50 in India on the entrance exam for the IIT technical universities. He believes they were caught in the same "golden handcuffs": they were paid too much to want to leave.

He argues that quant finance "has sequestered a lot of very talented people in an industry that basically adds no value to the world," and says this was the real source of his guilt. He adds an observation from his own conversations. Almost nobody he spoke to expected to still be in the job in five years, and many said they would stay two or three years and then move on. Yet they are still there. He asks whether they stayed because they wanted to, or because they "failed to re-evaluate."

FTX and the origin of the idea

Toward the end of his time at Tower, several things in his life lined up and pushed him toward starting a company. One of them was FTX. He is careful to say he is not defending Sam Bankman-Fried. He says what SBF did was clearly wrong and that he deserves to be in prison, and he does not accept that the ends justified the means. On the innovation side, though, he considers FTX a very successful company. He says it was profitable, backed by Sequoia, valued very highly, and made many products that were "actually really good." He also finds it interesting that FTX tried to get US licensing and regulation and bought an exchange in the US.

Kapila says he had already had the idea for what became QFEX about six months before. He describes a "burning desire to improve the markets," which came from having worked on the other side of them. His reasoning: if the real goal is efficient markets, the market's design itself should be improved, so that high-frequency firms no longer collect money "which they're just extracting from investors," and the market becomes fairer as a result.

Recruiting a co-founder and leaving

Around the end of 2024 and early 2025, he pitched the idea to Josh, one of his best friends, whom he has known since they were about 18. Josh worked at Citadel on the engineering side and knew nothing about exchanges. Kapila recalls calling him to say he had "this like crazy idea." He argued it was so obviously a better market design that it had to exist within five or ten years, and that either the incumbents would get their act together or the two of them would do it. Josh agreed and left his job at Citadel, which Kapila calls one of the top hedge funds in the world.

Money mattered to the timing. Kapila says his own job was going well and he had saved enough that he would not be under financial pressure. Once that was solved and he had "some decent money in the bank," he felt ready to work on something he wanted to be his life's work. He left his job in February 2025. His reasoning was that if he spent two to five years on it and it didn't work out, not much could really go wrong.

Getting into Y Combinator

The two applied to Y Combinator. Kapila was in Austria watching an opera when Josh called to say they had an interview, and he flew back to London the same day. He says the interview tested whether they understood the details of where the problem lay and what the "why now" was, meaning why this was the right time to build the idea.

He recalls Paul Graham explaining YC's approach. YC doesn't try to estimate the probability that an idea will succeed. It only wants to know the probability is above zero. Even at 1%, if the idea is huge and the team is good, YC will fund it. Kapila says this fits QFEX, because an exchange "is not like a 10 mil ARR business. Like it never be a 10 mil ARR business. It's either zero or huge." According to him, the questions that mattered were whether it was a huge idea and whether they were the right people to build it. They received the offer the next day.

The night the exchange "blew up"

Kapila stresses that fintech is hard to build because you can't launch something that breaks and then apologize to customers. He calls that "a real breach of trust." His hardest day came during YC. Their partners pushed them to launch early, internally to YC participants only, arguing that otherwise they would never get user feedback.

He was jet-lagged and working at 3 a.m. when his co-founder told him the exchange had "blown up." When they tried to reconcile accounts, balances did not add up. Some users were showing plus or minus amounts that should have been impossible, given that everyone had been given only about $100 to play with. They spent the whole day reconstructing what had happened, working out who owed what, and reimbursing some people. It was the first time the company took a loss. In some cases they told users something like: the system says you're minus $100, we don't think that's right, so we'll just give you $100.

The scale was small, so the financial loss was minor. What stayed with him was how hard it is to build a 24/7, fully available system that keeps accurate track of everything. Running around the clock means anything can go wrong at any time: "Lightning bolt can happen, fire in the data center, whatever." He says they didn't sleep properly for days because they knew that if this happened in a live exchange, "it's game over for us." In hindsight, he thinks the partners made them launch early partly to make them grow up and grasp the gravity of what they were building. He describes that period as both the best and worst days of their lives, working around 100 hours a week, very focused and "very frenetic."

Raising at a $95 million valuation before revenue

Kapila says people have misconceptions about how fast fundraising happens in Silicon Valley. For checks under about $500k, he says, it is usually a 30-minute meeting with a decision on the call or right after. Larger checks took a first meeting and a second in-person meeting, each around 30 minutes. They raised angel money on day one, then stopped accepting angels and focused on larger funds. The round was led by two major funds, General Catalyst and a second firm named in the recording as Nextus Venture Partners. It closed at a $95 million valuation while QFEX was still pre-revenue.

He argues that raising venture money only makes sense if the company can be "truly massive." In that case, he says, a VC finds it very hard to say no.

San Francisco versus London and New York

Kapila lived in San Francisco for about four months and now lives in New York, after years in London. He says that in London and New York people care a great deal about money: how much someone has, earns, keeps in the bank, and will make later. "Everything's about money." In San Francisco, in his experience, people talk and think about it less and care more about impact.

He contrasts this with the HFT mindset he came from. There, he says, strategies aren't supposed to lose money at all. A losing day brings an email from the boss asking what happened. Silicon Valley's approach, as he describes it, is to try to build something that could make a billion dollars in five years without really thinking about the money in the meantime. He found that a new and welcome way of thinking.

What QFEX is trying to change

The stated goal is for everyone to trade "on the same equal playing field." Kapila uses buying Tesla as an example. The stock trades on the Nasdaq exchange, the customer uses Robinhood as the interface, and a separate clearing house handles risk management and settlement. He argues that one trade involving three separate companies is intermediation that should be handled by a single company, as efficiently as possible, and says this is what QFEX offers.

He says QFEX pricing is fully transparent. It does not earn money through a "profit share agreement," only through fees, which he says are kept as low as possible, and a large share is returned to users, for example through referrals. He compares the company to Stripe: Stripe reduced friction in payments, and QFEX aims to reduce friction in trading. Because so much money moves through financial markets, he argues, even small improvements have "massive downstream impact."

Money, legacy, and advice for people in high-paying jobs

Kapila believes the best founders see their company as their life's work and legacy, as something more than money. He says he had reached a point where he was no longer just thinking about money. He admits part of his motivation for QFEX is still financial, and says there is also the aim to "be the change in the world that we want to see," through a change he thinks few others are positioned to make. His test is what you would want to tell your kids you spent your life doing.

His advice to young people in lucrative jobs is to think carefully about why they are doing the work, to ask honestly whether they want to be doing it in five to seven years, and whether the job will even still exist then. While you are young, he says, you "should be optimizing for learning and optimizing for growth, not optimizing for how much money you're making right now."